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Podcast | Tech Talks

Tech Talk Breaks Down a Wild Dairy Market Rally

Podcast Description

In this episode of Ag Smarter Tech Talk, Cody and Andy analyze a fast-moving dairy market marked by sharp rallies in butter and cheese prices. They discuss cold storage data, futures signals, technical trends, and whether current momentum could push prices past key resistance levels. The conversation also touches on seasonal factors, milk production trends – and what traders should watch as new-crop orders approach.

They also examine how strong US nonfat prices and high global milk production could shape markets in the months ahead.

Tech Talk Breaks Down a Wild Dairy Market Rally

Transcript

00;00;00;21 – 00;00;08;28
Unknown
Future trading involves risk not suitable for all investors. Content provided in this segment is meant for educational purposes and is not a solicitation to buy or sell commodities.

00;00;09;01 – 00;00;12;00
Unknown
Hello, everybody. Welcome to AG smarter tech talk. I’m Cody.

00;00;12;00 – 00;00;14;08
Unknown
He is Andy. It is the 25th

00;00;14;08 – 00;00;27;11
Unknown
of February. Feels like the 97th day of February. But here we are live on TikTok. This winner has drag on forever.

00;00;27;13 – 00;00;34;20
Unknown
We’re here.

00;00;34;23 – 00;00;37;12
Unknown
The.

00;00;37;15 – 00;00;53;16
Unknown
I know the sad. It’s thing is like March is going to be here and it’ll kind of mirror or meander around March and April. You know, you get one more snow, maybe two more, and just kicks right in the teeth.

00;00;53;18 – 00;01;06;04
Unknown
I am I feel like it woke up like, yeah, I’m going to make today my day.

00;01;06;06 – 00;01;14;04
Unknown
And we did not. People are too busy in the market trying to figure out what’s going on.

00;01;14;06 – 00;01;21;22
Unknown
Right up.

00;01;21;24 – 00;01;30;14
Unknown
Yeah.

00;01;30;16 – 00;01;36;22
Unknown
Oh I know.

00;01;36;24 – 00;01;45;03
Unknown
I had I feel like we were going to I thought we were going to drift a little bit farther. I’m surprised. You know, we stopped at what, a dollar. Those are low here.

00;01;45;05 – 00;02;04;08
Unknown
Lower. I thought I thought butter was going to take. You know, when we were down at $1.30, I think I was calling for maybe a little bit lower, like $1.20 ish. So Mr.. By $0.10. But we rallied and then we got cold storage yesterday, which has already promptly pushed butter futures limit up. But man this this market has been crazy.

00;02;04;08 – 00;02;16;03
Unknown
We, we went from $1.30, stopped on a dime and just went where we are right now. Dari one.

00;02;16;05 – 00;02;22;24
Unknown
Yeah.

00;02;22;26 – 00;02;30;16
Unknown
Yeah.

00;02;30;18 – 00;02;34;03
Unknown
Have you said you.

00;02;34;05 – 00;02;44;17
Unknown
Right. So 215. You think? Ish.

00;02;44;19 – 00;02;56;16
Unknown
Oh, yeah.

00;02;56;19 – 00;02;59;18
Unknown
Yeah.

00;02;59;20 – 00;03;21;01
Unknown
Two it is right there.

00;03;21;04 – 00;03;45;07
Unknown
Yeah.

00;03;45;09 – 00;03;58;23
Unknown
Yeah. I don’t think we’ve seen a rally like this since Food Bucks. Right?

00;03;58;26 – 00;04;03;12
Unknown
Yeah, right.

00;04;03;14 – 00;04;17;23
Unknown
Yeah.

00;04;17;26 – 00;04;21;19
Unknown
Yes, sir.

00;04;21;22 – 00;04;41;14
Unknown
Well, you know, on the.

00;04;41;16 – 00;04;46;15
Unknown
Yep.

00;04;46;17 – 00;04;53;26
Unknown
Yes, they have.

00;04;53;28 – 00;05;10;25
Unknown
What’s my call? If you get the way this trade right now, I think you’re going to go test that $2, 212 number. And from there, man, I think I. Yeah.

00;05;10;27 – 00;05;31;03
Unknown
Yeah.

00;05;31;05 – 00;05;43;26
Unknown
Do you think that it happens today’s Wednesday. Do you think it happens by Friday before we roll into the new crop on next Monday. No. Okay.

00;05;43;28 – 00;05;59;06
Unknown
Yeah.

00;05;59;09 – 00;06;06;09
Unknown
You know. Yeah.

00;06;06;12 – 00;06;16;05
Unknown
You can go.

00;06;16;08 – 00;06;29;04
Unknown
Right. Great.

00;06;29;07 – 00;06;35;06
Unknown
Correct. Yeah. Okay.

00;06;35;09 – 00;06;47;10
Unknown
Hey, fab. Look at that.

00;06;47;13 – 00;07;00;24
Unknown
Yeah, we’re at 156 right now.

00;07;00;27 – 00;07;14;12
Unknown
Yep.

00;07;14;15 – 00;07;46;03
Unknown
Told.

00;07;46;05 – 00;07;50;01
Unknown
Which breaks out of the downtrend.

00;07;50;03 – 00;07;57;13
Unknown
Yeah.

00;07;57;15 – 00;08;01;12
Unknown
Wow.

00;08;01;14 – 00;08;06;02
Unknown
Yeah.

00;08;06;04 – 00;08;30;08
Unknown
Yes. It is.

00;08;30;11 – 00;08;39;24
Unknown
Yeah.

00;08;39;26 – 00;08;44;10
Unknown
Look at.

00;08;44;12 – 00;08;49;10
Unknown
Yes, it is.

00;08;49;12 – 00;09;02;09
Unknown
A little stair step action going on here.

00;09;02;11 – 00;09;12;06
Unknown
Similar. That’s baseball movie ever made.

00;09;12;09 – 00;09;26;23
Unknown
The great. No, it’s a classic.

00;09;26;26 – 00;09;38;12
Unknown
The change is on me again. Then they.

00;09;38;15 – 00;10;05;04
Unknown
There we go. There we go. Oh, interesting.

00;10;05;07 – 00;10;19;21
Unknown
Right.

00;10;19;23 – 00;10;26;11
Unknown
Yep.

00;10;26;13 – 00;10;38;07
Unknown
Okay.

00;10;38;09 – 00;10;38;19
Unknown
We

00;10;38;22 – 00;10;43;09
Unknown
are too super for Ruby.

00;10;43;11 – 00;10;49;08
Unknown
Over there.

00;10;49;11 – 00;10;55;25
Unknown
Then 1951.

00;10;55;28 – 00;11;10;13
Unknown
Okay. So what? What wave do you think we’re in? Yeah.

00;11;10;15 – 00;11;20;18
Unknown
Oh, I see. Okay, okay.

00;11;20;21 – 00;11;38;29
Unknown
Right.

00;11;39;01 – 00;11;46;12
Unknown
The the.

00;11;46;15 – 00;11;56;23
Unknown
Correct.

00;11;56;25 – 00;12;06;12
Unknown
Yeah.

00;12;06;15 – 00;12;43;02
Unknown
Yeah.

00;12;43;04 – 00;12;50;25
Unknown
Right.

00;12;50;27 – 00;13;21;01
Unknown
Right.

00;13;21;04 – 00;13;24;00
Unknown
Yeah.

00;13;24;03 – 00;13;30;08
Unknown
Leaving all that noise behind?

00;13;30;11 – 00;13;36;19
Unknown
Yeah. Something to be cognizant of.

00;13;36;21 – 00;13;39;15
Unknown
That’s right.

00;13;39;17 – 00;13;47;28
Unknown
So then what?

00;13;48;00 – 00;14;04;07
Unknown
It’s funny that you mentioned, you know, not trading out that far, which I completely agree with you. It doesn’t happen very often. Somebody just traded December of 20 2740 higher in the class three. So we’re seeing some movement. Yeah.

00;14;04;09 – 00;14;17;18
Unknown
Yeah. Look at that. Yeah. It’s interesting. Move. I love it. John.

00;14;17;20 – 00;14;20;28
Unknown
Richard. John. RJ.

00;14;21;00 – 00;14;27;04
Unknown
Good. I mean, anything’s possible these days.

00;14;27;06 – 00;14;31;10
Unknown
Right.

00;14;31;12 – 00;14;37;21
Unknown
Anything’s possible.

00;14;37;24 – 00;14;42;16
Unknown
That that’s that’s all I got on this, you know, beautiful. Wednesday in the middle of February

00;14;42;18 – 00;15;06;25
Unknown
and February. But still looking. Still still looking. I’m searching Facebook Marketplace because I wouldn’t look at new ones. And I was like, oh, little price shocked. But we’re on face, man. We’re on pace.

00;15;06;28 – 00;15;09;23
Unknown
Yeah.

00;15;09;25 – 00;15;15;03
Unknown
Yeah, but anything for Iron Man.

00;15;15;05 – 00;15;27;02
Unknown
We. Yeah. What do we have? Seven months? Yeah. Ish.

00;15;27;05 – 00;15;35;24
Unknown
We gotta get her. We gotta get some team t shirts made.

00;15;35;26 – 00;15;56;10
Unknown
Every team t shirts. Cool, I need it. I appreciate it. All right, everybody, appreciate you tuning in to you. Tech talk. We do not have any requested today. Any mentioned. If anyone would like to see something for next time, please get Ahold of us. We would be happy to look at them in these crazy markets that we’ve seen the past couple weeks.

00;15;56;12 – 00;16;10;29
Unknown
Any kind of chart is going to be something interesting to look at. So send them our way and we’ll take a peek. If you have not already, please subscribe to the channel, hit the notification bell, give a thumbs up to all your friends and family, and we will see you next time on a Smarter Tech Talk.